● Live · Jul 06, 2026
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USMCA is officially dead in its current form — now the real negotiations begin

The U.S. formally declined to renew the USMCA, with Trade Representative Jamieson Greer announcing the decision in an official statement. Rather than extending the agreement, the U.S. will engage Mexico and Canada in annual trade reviews going forward — a significant structural shift from the existing framework.

This is a concrete escalation beyond the review trigger that was previously covered. The non-renewal puts the entire agreement's architecture in question and opens the door to renegotiated terms on tariffs, rules of origin, and market access — all of which directly touch North American produce flows worth tens of billions of dollars annually.

Watch for accelerating advocacy from produce groups on both sides of the border as the review process takes shape. Any movement on tariff structures for key commodities like avocados, tomatoes, berries, and peppers will come out of this process — and the timeline is now compressed.

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