New data from Agronometrics confirms Mexican mango shipments will fall 27% this summer compared to prior-year levels. Cooler-than-normal spring temperatures reduced flowering in key growing regions, creating production gaps that are keeping availability limited through mid-July.
This adds hard numbers to a story that's been developing since spring. The volume shortfall is concentrated in the window when Mexican mangoes typically dominate U.S. shelves, meaning buyers who haven't already secured alternative sourcing are likely already feeling the squeeze. Prices have been elevated as a result.
Mid-July is the projected inflection point — worth monitoring whether volumes recover on schedule or if the gap extends into late summer. Category managers should track availability closely as the transition plays out.