Mango supply is tightening further as production transitions from southern to northern Mexico. Colder-than-normal spring temperatures slowed fruit development and reduced blooms across Nayarit and South Sinaloa, according to Mission Produce's senior director of sales Galen Johnson, signaling meaningfully lower volume heading into summer.
This compounds an already tight mango market that has been running on constrained supply for weeks. The seasonal handoff to northern Mexican regions like Sonora and Sinaloa's northern districts is now critical, and any additional weather setbacks there could extend the shortfall.
Buyers should expect elevated pricing to persist and plan promotional calendars accordingly — volume commitments made weeks ago may need to be revisited as the full scope of the shortfall becomes clearer.