The California Avocado Commission's mid-season forecast confirms the projected harvest of 330 million pounds for the 2026 season. The projection holds steady, signaling no major weather or crop development issues have emerged to revise the outlook downward.
This matters for domestic avocado buyers because California supply represents a seasonal counterweight to the year-round Mexican import program. A confirmed strong California crop means additional domestic volume is available for retailers and foodservice buyers looking to feature local-origin avocados through the summer season.
While California growers have previously flagged margin pressure from Mexican import competition, the supply-side picture is solid. Watch for how promotional activity evolves as California volume peaks — a strong crop at a time of broader produce inflation could make avocados a featured value play for retailers this summer.