Mexico's main avocado crop is tightening further, with growers deliberately delaying harvests to stretch supply into the Loca season that begins in July. The strategy is intentional — growers are trying to bridge the gap between crop cycles — but it's keeping prices elevated through the end of June.
This is a concrete development within the ongoing Mexican avocado shortage story. Force majeure was declared by major shippers weeks ago, and California and Peru have been stepping in to fill gaps. Now the picture is sharper: the supply hole is expected to persist for weeks, not days, and grower behavior is actively managing the timeline.
Watch for continued price pressure at retail through at least the end of June. Category managers should confirm sourcing plans for Loca-season fruit and monitor whether Peru volumes are sufficient to offset the shortfall in the near term.