Chilean avocado production is projected to reach 285,000 tons in the 2026/27 season, a 10% increase over the prior year and a new industry record. The sector is building on consecutive years of output growth as Chilean orchards continue to mature and expand.
This matters to North American buyers because Chilean avocados typically arrive during the winter window when Michoacán supply is transitioning or constrained. With Michoacán's just-closed season already down 27% from last year, Chilean volume is going to be an important part of the supply picture heading into 2027.
A record Chilean crop could help buffer any continued softness from Mexico — worth monitoring how pricing responds as Chilean fruit begins moving into export channels later this year.