Peru's Table Grape Growers Association Provid now forecasts 78.7 million 8.2 kg boxes for the 2026-27 season, down 9% from the prior year and a downward revision from its earlier estimate of 82.65 million boxes. The northern growing zone is expecting a 28% decline, driven by harvests starting up to three weeks early for some varieties and lower bunch weights from smaller berry sizes. The southern zone is up 6% due to expanded productive hectares.
Peru is a critical table grape origin for North American and European buyers, particularly during the December-through-February window. A 28% drop in northern production is significant because that region typically leads the season calendar. Smaller berry sizes and earlier timing are compounding the volume story with a quality and pack-out challenge.
Volume is expected to peak between weeks 44 and 47 in the north, so buyers should watch for early-season tightness and plan promotional windows accordingly. The southern zone's growth may partially offset northern losses, but the full picture won't stabilize until later harvest data is available.