Peru's industry body Proarándanos cut its 2026/27 blueberry export forecast to 382,000 tonnes — a 6% reduction from its August estimate of 404,000 tonnes. The association attributes the cut to worsening El Niño conditions, which are expected to pressure productivity in the second half of the season. That revised figure now puts Peru roughly flat with last season's total.
The season started strong, with 95,000 tonnes shipped through week 35 — 48% ahead of the same point last year. But Proarándanos is warning against reading too much into that early momentum. The real impact is expected to show up mid-season and at the tail end, with peak week exports now projected at 16,500 tonnes in week 42, down 16% from earlier projections and 21% below last year's actual peak. The organic segment has been cut even more sharply, down 18% from August estimates.
With so much early fruit already shipped, the remaining pipeline is noticeably thinner. Buyers planning programs around Peruvian volume in October and November should watch Proarándanos' next update closely — the window for adjustment is shrinking.