Peru's avocado growers' association ProHass is warning that unusual coastal heat — pushing temperatures up to 41 degrees above historical records — is limiting normal fruit development and could cause the Peruvian season to wrap up approximately one month earlier than expected.
This is significant because Peru is one of the primary alternative supply sources being counted on to offset the well-documented Mexican avocado shortfall. If the Peruvian season ends early, the window of relief for U.S. buyers narrows considerably, and the market could face a supply gap heading into a period when Mexican volumes would normally be recovering.
Given that both Mexico and Peru are experiencing simultaneous disruptions, buyers relying on avocado promotions through summer should be stress-testing their sourcing plans and tracking ProHass export data closely over the next several weeks.