Mexico exported 35% more avocados to the United States in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period last year, with March alone posting a 57% year-over-year jump at 148,511 tons. The data underscores just how central Mexican supply — and specifically Michoacán — has become to the U.S. avocado market.
This volume context is critical right now. With USDA having suspended and now only partially restored inspections in Michoacán, disruptions hit a supply chain that has been running at record pace. Any meaningful slowdown in inspection capacity doesn't just clip the margins — it interrupts a pipeline that U.S. retailers and foodservice operators have built around high, consistent volume.
For buyers, this data reinforces why the Michoacán situation carries outsized market risk. Watch for spot price movement as partial inspections create uneven flow, and monitor whether California growers move to fill any gaps in availability.