Mexico's mango season got off to a late start due to delayed flowering, with harvest in the southern regions of Chiapas and Oaxaca now wrapping up. Volumes in Michoacán and Guerrero are ramping up, but overall supply is expected to come in lower than normal — and that squeeze is projected to drive strong pricing from May through September.
For buyers and category managers, this is a five-month window of margin pressure on a high-demand summer item. Mexico is the dominant mango supplier to the U.S. during this stretch, so there's limited ability to source around it.
Start locking in your planning now. If you're running promotions or volume commitments around mango this summer, revisit those numbers — pricing at current trajectory could make those deals look expensive fast.