Raspberry supply is running well above last season's levels, and the surplus is putting visible pressure on pricing. Industry sources note that Mexican raspberry production has increased substantially over the past year or more, driving more volume into the U.S. market than demand has kept pace with.
This dynamic is a meaningful shift from last season, when supply was tighter and pricing held firmer. The increase in Mexican production reflects ongoing investment in berry infrastructure south of the border, with volume that competes directly with domestic California and Pacific Northwest supply windows.
For buyers, current conditions likely represent a buying opportunity on price — but sellers and category managers running raspberry programs should expect margin compression to persist as long as Mexican supply stays elevated. Worth monitoring whether any weather disruption or logistical shift changes the supply picture before year-end.